Housing: recap of day 3, preview of day 4
On Day Three of Suite Selection, the impact of yesterday’s Senior Regroup became apparent. The mixed-point groups were left to pick through the carnage, as the two-point groups ate up the medium- and low-demand Woodbridge lines, the Symposium doubles, and the Watt one-bedroom apartments, all of which were gone by the day’s close.
After everyone’s lottery numbers were published, it seemed like Woodbridge could last deep into the 20-point round. However, the elimination of the UAH apartments combined with the insane popularity of Woodbridge during Regroup meant that its cutoff was pretty much in line with the cutoff from last year.
In addition to these choice doubles, the EC Exclusion suites were also finished off today. The very first five-person group of the day dropped to General Selection, giving all but one of the 24-point groups a spot in EC. But this didn’t go down without any drama. As we mentioned during the liveblog, one of the 24-point groups was late for their appointment time, but because things were running behind schedule, they came just before the final ECX’s were taken. Regardless, it seems that the system has recalibrated itself after the elimination of the Exclusion rule. A cutoff right around 24 points seems like a safe bet for future years—last year’s cutoff of 10 points was clearly just a one-year outlier.
Finally, Day Three brought lots of large groups hoping for six- and eight-person suites. Enough of the eight-person groups dropped to leave some Ruggles eight-person suites available for tomorrow, so our new projected cutoff is 20/1542. There are also still six six-person suites left for the juniors: five in Ruggles and one in Harmony. Interestingly, none of the seven-person groups came in to claim a Claremont suite. This is excellent news for potential Regroupers tomorrow and for Claremont hopefuls of lesser point values.
So what’s on tap for tomorrow? A steady stream of Watt studio doubles will be taken since they are now the best two-person options on the board. However, I’d like to point out that one of the three-person Claremont suites has an RA who never chose his/her RA riders, leaving two singles available in that suite for anyone who is interested. We’ll also find out just how popular the new brownstone doubles are, a couple of which were taken at the end of today’s selection.
Of course, more than just groups of two have appointment times for tomorrow. The three/four/five-person groups will be out of luck, but the six/seven/eight person groups will come through to wipe Ruggles off the board. Once that’s all done, we’ll have the biggest Class of 2014 event of the year: Junior Regroup! There could literally be hundreds of juniors coming back in the hopes of avoiding General Selection. They will probably finish off the Watt studio doubles and could quite possibly take all of the remaining Claremont suites as well. What the others will do is anyone’s guess: Scattered doubles from the brownstones, Nussbaum, and McBain all seem like potential candidates. All we know for sure is that we’ll be covering it live for you, as we always do, starting at 9:30am.
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